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Ghana’s $21bn gold exports reveal the challenge behind Mahama’s 2030 mineral processing plan.

Ghana's gold exports reached $20.98 billion in 2025, accounting for 67.1% of merchandise export earnings. New Bank of Ghana figures show why Mahama's 2030 mineral processing plan faces a significant economic test.

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Gold accounted for 67.1% of Ghana’s merchandise export earnings in 2025 and remained the country’s dominant export in the first eight months of 2026. As President John Mahama proposes phasing out raw mineral ore exports by 2030, official figures reveal the opportunities and economic challenges facing Ghana’s industrial ambitions.

ACCRA — Ghana earned $20.98 billion from gold exports in 2025, more than double the previous year’s figure, according to the Bank of Ghana’s 2025 Annual Report.

Gold accounted for approximately 67.1% of the country’s $31.25 billion in merchandise export receipts, up from 53.9% in 2024, calculations by Nukunya show.

That represents an increase of 13.3 percentage points in gold’s share of Ghana’s export earnings.

More recent Bank of Ghana figures indicate that the concentration continued into 2026.

Between January and August, Ghana earned $14.86 billion from gold exports out of total merchandise export receipts of $22.41 billion. Gold therefore represented approximately 66.3% of exports during the eight-month period.

Gold earnings were also approximately 32.9% higher than the $11.18 billion recorded during the corresponding period in 2025.

The figures provide an economic backdrop to President John Dramani Mahama’s announcement at the Mining in Motion Summit in Accra on 19 October.

Mahama outlined a target of 2030 for ending exports of unprocessed mineral ores through phased restrictions, supporting legislation and implementation requirements tailored to individual minerals.

The policy aims to encourage domestic processing, create skilled employment and retain more economic value from Ghana’s natural resources.

However, the trade figures reveal an important distinction.

Higher mineral export earnings do not necessarily mean Ghana is processing more minerals domestically or retaining a greater share of their economic value.

Understanding that difference is essential to assessing whether the government’s proposed reforms can deliver lasting industrial transformation.

NUKUNYA | DATA JOURNALISM

Ghana’s mineral economy in numbers

Explore gold export earnings, the changing composition of merchandise exports and the economic challenges behind Ghana’s proposed 2030 mineral-processing strategy.

Explore Ghana’s export data

Full year 2025

Gold export receipts $20.98bn
Total merchandise exports $31.25bn
Gold share 67.1%

Gold versus other merchandise exports

Share of export receipts

Gold: $20.98bn Other: $10.27bn

Gold’s share of merchandise exports

Percentage of total export receipts

202453.9%
202567.1%
Jan–Aug 202666.3%

The 2026 observation covers eight months, not a complete calendar year.

Export earnings: 2024 versus 2025

US$ billion · full-year observations

Gold 2024$10.32bn
Gold 2025$20.98bn
Gold export earnings growth +103.3%

Approximately $10.66 billion more in 2025 than in 2024.

Gold receipts: January–August comparison

Comparable eight-month periods · US$ billion

2025$11.18bn
2026$14.86bn
Year-on-year increase +32.9%

Approximately $3.68 billion in additional gold export receipts.

What drove Ghana’s gold export boom?

The Bank of Ghana attributes the increase in 2025 gold receipts to higher exported quantities and higher realised prices.

Export volume growth +35.7% Approximately 4.55m to 6.17m fine ounces
Realised price growth +49.9% Approximately $2,269 to $3,400 per ounce

Explore the drivers of export earnings

Higher realised prices

When international gold prices rise, Ghana can earn more export revenue without an equivalent increase in physical production or domestic processing.

Explore Ghana’s mineral value chains

Select a mineral to see the difference between exporting raw materials and developing commercially viable domestic processing.

Bauxite to aluminium

Bauxite ore Alumina refining Aluminium smelting Manufacturing

Processing bauxite into alumina and aluminium requires substantial investment, technical capability and reliable electricity. Commercial competitiveness cannot be assumed from mineral availability alone.

Ghana’s proposed 2030 processing policy

Announced policy objective — not a universal ban already in force

President John Dramani Mahama outlined plans on 19 October 2026 for phased restrictions on exports of unprocessed mineral ores, supported by legislation and mineral-specific implementation schedules.

What should Ghana measure before 2030?

1. Operational processing capacity

Measure facilities financed, built, commissioned and operating commercially — not simply those announced.

2. Domestic value added

Measure economic value generated locally after accounting for intermediate inputs, rather than using gross export earnings as a substitute.

3. Industrial competitiveness

Monitor electricity costs, transport, access to capital, operating costs and market demand.

4. Jobs and local participation

Separate temporary construction jobs from permanent operational employment, and assess wages, skills and local procurement.

5. Export diversification

Track mineral-specific processing rates and exports of higher-value products, while assessing concentration and price risks.

NUKUNYA ANALYSIS

The real test is value created, not ore exports prevented

Ghana’s $20.98 billion in gold export receipts demonstrates the importance of mineral resources to the country’s external earnings.

But gross export receipts cannot establish how much additional economic value Ghana could capture through domestic processing.

The 2030 policy should be assessed through commercially viable processing facilities, sustained skilled employment, competitive production and measurable domestic value added.

The central question is not only how much Ghana earns from exporting minerals, but how much lasting economic value it can create from them.

Sources and methodology

Data transcribed from the figures attributed in the supplied article to the Bank of Ghana’s 2025 Annual Report and September 2026 Summary of Economic and Financial Data.

Gold share = gold receipts divided by total merchandise exports × 100. Other exports = total merchandise exports minus gold receipts.

Full-year figures must not be compared directly with the January–August 2026 totals. Mineral value-chain illustrations are explanatory, not verified project-progress indicators.

Reporting cut-off: 21 October 2026. Verify primary sources and add direct source links before publication.

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